2014 Predictions Part 2

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Yesterday I made some predictions for economic data, politics, and Federal Reserve monetary policy that may impact the market. Today I will focus on financial products and sectors. 2014 Predictions – the Markets What lifts the market? The equity market, as a whole, has been lifted significantly since the onset of the QE-3 (QE-Infinity) monetary Read more…

Volatility – Yellen, Earnings, Economics

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Yellen confirmation, some economic data, and a couple of late earnings could equate to a little market excitement. While most of the earnings are already out this quarter, a few big names left to report could inject some volatility. Yellen’s confirmation hearing will surely elicit some questions and set the tone as to when and Read more…

Economic Data – CPI and Jobless Claims

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The market continues to slide and is having difficulty holding onto those supports. The economic data and some late earnings reports show a softer economy than what many have predicted. What seems strange is that the 10-year yield continues to move slightly higher (up to 2.78%), as the economic data shows the stars may not Read more…

Earnings (CSCO / WMT)

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The rally continues and the talk in financial circles related to some key points that David Tepper mentioned yesterday. Maybe the best way to sum up his analysis is to say; “The market will go up, by hook or by crook!” Temper’s view (correctly I might add) is that if the economic data is not Read more…

New Technology Boom!

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We managed to see the Dow Jones break above that 15,000 level yesterday and the NDX is pretty close to breaking through 3,000. Much of the talk in the financial media is again focused on these new levels and again the question is; “Can we go higher?” Sure why not. The Fed’s monetary policy is Read more…

NETFLIX EARNINGS

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The market remains in the support holding pattern from yesterday, but it did show some strength going into the close. Earnings are starting to set the tone for the 2nd quarter and the repeated theme is a weak and stagnant domestic environment and reliance on the emerging markets, which are still growing, but at a Read more…

Cloud Computing – the Next Big Thing

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Cloud Computing is just getting started, which our main theme today. The market was tested last week and the quick knee jerk reaction from the Fed meeting notes showed how quickly and fragile the market is. It also reflected how accustomed we have become to the Fed’s monetary policy of low rates and bond buying. Read more…

Domestic Employment

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  Weekly jobless claims have seen significant volatility since the beginning of the year. First we saw a massive drop, revisions, and then a huge increase. It had many economists scratching their heads primarily due to the revisions and “seasonal adjustment” factor, which goes unpublished. This seems to be the first week where volatility has Read more…