Market Bounce?

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Last week was a wild ride. In my conclusion on Friday we were not heading into a full correction just yet, there is just nowhere to go with your money at this point. Plus we have not seen an economic catalyst event (see Friday’s conclusion). The Fed’s FOMC statement while recognizing that inflation was on Read more…

Putin’s Rhetoric

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As we hover and wait for either a break-out rally or a crack-down below support, the Ukraine and Russian President Vladimir Putin are grabbing headlines. While the situation in the Ukraine may seem like it’s in some far off place, it does have a direct impact on the domestic financial markets, so we must pay Read more…

Proof of China’s Might!

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The markets moved down yesterday to a short-term support area. They could get a little bounce today as Putin stated he is willing to “talk”, which has given the market some optimism. However, we haven’t really defined what “talk” means, it could be “commanding” or “threatening” – I guess we just assume that he means, Read more…

Currency War

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The market has been having a hell of a time trying to break-out above the resistance range and push higher. The Labor Report, with very strong headline numbers, was not enough to boost optimism and drive this market higher. Certainly the market wants to move higher, but it needs some help – and that help Read more…

April’s Labor Report

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Today is the Labor Report and it has been one of the most widely and closely watched economic data points. It has also become a story of “Good News” is “Bad News”. If we have stronger job numbers which is good for the economy, the market feels that the Fed may taper and raise rates, Read more…

Waiting Game

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Leading indicator? Is it the Dow Jones and S&P 500 that have held supports and look like we might bounce higher OR is it the broader based Russell and tech heavy NDX that have broken below supports? The VIX has not been a good indicator of late for those searching for a sign of optimism Read more…

Breakout Rally?

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The Fed and geopolitical situations continue to be the daily volatility driver into the market. Yellen’s gaff in the Q&A session sent the market down sharply and yesterday the President stated that a military option is off the table with Ukraine, sending the market up sharply. All this shows how jittery and reliant the markets Read more…

2014 Predictions Part I

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Making predictions is, at best, a game of educated guesses and, at worse, wishful thinking. One of the hardest things is to be objective. It is certainly far easier to take an ideological stance, ignore math, and draw conjecture that sits well with one’s views. It is far harder to make observations, do the math, Read more…

Apple China Mobile Deal

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It looks like Santa is coming to town, well at least in the market. There are amazing stories in the emerging markets, but there are also some risks out there. I expect that if we only concentrate our focus on the growing emerging market story we may become blind to some core risks that could Read more…

Earnings JNJ, KO, C

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There is another hint at a deal in Washington. Please, these false starts have generated so many penalties yards that they are going backwards. While I do remain optimistic that a deal will get done and that it will come, as per usual, in the 11th hour, I also have a slight feeling of dread Read more…

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