Lions of Rojava

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The news is focused on the horrific terrorist attacks in France and the expanding concerns about ISIS. Our own nation is still rather unclear and unsure what to do, we don’t have a plan. I am not sure if the President is concerned about his legacy (14 months left) or concerned about populism, but I Read more…

Easy Money

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While earnings have been significantly mixed; Walmart, IBM, Chipotle and others getting crushed and Google, Amazon, and others beating – we are seeing huge volatility. There is one common theme that is a little concern, is that the net forecasts and top-line revenue results are weak. Yet, the implied volatility is getting crushed and the Read more…

Earnings Effect

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The earnings season is telling not just for the fundamental views of growth and sales, but also how it may weight on the Fed’s rate hike decision for the next two meetings. If the recent jobs report coming in far weaker than expected, combined with the disinflation (contracting inflation) should be reason enough that the Read more…

NO RATE HIKES

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The stars are aligning for the Fed. They will NOT HIKE RATES in 2015. NO RATE HIKES The Fed has clearly said they are “data dependent”, so if we look at the data it is telling us they are NOT going to raise rates. Remember they have a “Dual Mandate” which is maintaining a strong Read more…

QE4 coming?

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Is QE4 coming? Of course that was just a headline to catch your attention. The Labor Report certainly was a bust and came in far lower than my expectations. However, it has certainly justified and offered an excuse for our “Data Dependent” Fed NOT to raise rates. Of course if you have been following the Read more…

Fed Policy NOT working

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The FED did NOT raise rates the market should have rallied. What happened, why are we declining? Is the message from the Fed that the economy, whether globally or locally, really that bad? What about all the great economic data; U3 unemployment at 5.1%, GDP growing above 2% and looking better, inflation in check? I Read more…

Ambiguity

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As the market remains volatile heading into the one of the most anticipated FOMC meeting since the crisis we are left with more ambiguity than ever before. The Jackson Hole “Economic Policy Symposium” where the central bankers, which traditionally has brought us more comfort through certainty, became a convolution of economic rhetoric. Ambiguity Jackson Hole Read more…

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