ASSumptions

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Courtesy of wikipedia Oscar Wilde said, “When you assume, you make an ass out of u and me.” Which is probably one of the most astute observations of the human condition and I might add put in an eloquent, yet poignant way. The run-up and fall-out of the BREXIT has validated Wilde’s famous quote, much Read more…

Uncertainty?

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I was speaking with a well-respected leader in the financial community discussing the market. She made an astute observation; “We can deal with bad news and we can deal with good news, what we can’t deal with is uncertainty!” She is absolutely correct. One can position their investments for both good and bad economic and Read more…

Feel the Cold!

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The one thing the Democrats didn’t feel in IOWA was the Bern, just the cold. Here are the facts: • Iowa has 3.1m population, • 584,111 registered Democrat ACTIVE Voters • 612,112 registered Republican ACTIVE Voters • 726,819 registered Independent ACTIVE Voters • 30 Republican delegates • 44 Democrat delegates. I looked at the voting Read more…

Not all is Rosy

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What we had hoped would not come to pass is now becoming reality. Perhaps it was hope rather than math, that drove optimistic perception. I have a saying, which I probably don’t repeat enough; “You can choose to ignore the math, but you can’t avoid it!” We tend to ignore real economic data, math and Read more…

1,000 Foot View

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Is the world coming to an end? It would seem so as we watch the market take a nose dive, only to rebound in what seems nothing more than a “dead cat” bounce. So why all the turmoil, volatility, and radical markets? We can certainly try to point our finger at one thing or another Read more…

Market Sell-Off?

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As expected the market is coming under pressure after the New Year. The problems stem from the underlying weak economy, both domestic and abroad. The economy has never been as strong as some of the headline data would suggest, because of the Federal Reserve interventionist policies have artificially boosted the data. It was always the Read more…

2016 Predictions

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It is the end of 2015 and we have been in for a wild ride, driven by Fed interventionism and uncertainty. The Fed raised rates to the upper end of their 0 – .25 years long ZERO rate policy. However, the 25bps raise had little effect on bonds or the market in general, yet it Read more…

Fed Reliance

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I hope everyone had an excellent Thanksgiving and enjoyed their holiday shopping. The market has been moving in fits and starts. The data has certainly been mixed, from weak holiday sales and the recent better than expected Labor Report. However, nothing has been horrible and unbelievably good. It has been mediocre at best. The biggest Read more…

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