2017 Predictions

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To say that 2016 was a boring and predictive year is an understatement, probably the two biggest items impacting the economic fronts were the cantankerous election ending in a Trump win and the BREXIT sending ripples through Europe. But what should we expect in 2017? 2017 Predictions Year of the Dollar Courtesy of wikipedia While Read more…

Election and the Markets

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I appreciate the very “strong” feelings people have for the candidates and I am going to attempt to be as objective as I can when reviewing the candidates and how it may impact the economy and markets from my very humble opinion. There are certainly many other issues, all very important, but I thought I Read more…

Potential Volatility

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First I must apologize for my absence. I have been on the road show and opening new offices, certainly taking a heavy toll on my sleep and also this report. There is certainly a lot of potential volatility in the market between the US Elections, Puerto Rico’s upcoming July $2 billion default, BREXIT, Economic Data, Read more…

A Fed Game

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The confluence between the Fed and economic data will ultimately drive Fed monetary policy. It is important to remember that one must not cherry pick the data nor just look at the headline data. Certainly the Fed is delving into the numbers, because if economic headline data were the end-all be-all for setting monetary policy Read more…

Quarter End

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The quarter end is traditionally a time when the financial world reports their returns, makes forecasts for the next quarter, and of course the unspoken game of “marking”, which my colleagues will not find my brute honesty humorous, but it is true nonetheless. It is also the time for the government to make their forecasts Read more…

Fed Rally!

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As expected if the Fed decided to halt rate hikes and take a more dovish stance, the dollar would weaken and the equity, bond, and commodity markets would rally. However, we must take a step back and look at the big picture as to whether this rally is based on solid economic fundamentals (strong earnings Read more…

Primaries and the Fed

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This week should be pivotal for the markets. We have another “Super Tuesday” that could be the decider for both the GOP and Democrat primaries, which will certainly drive some volatility (depending on who slings ahead). Yet this is more of a long-term market driven story that ultimately plays out in November. What will drive Read more…

ECB NIRP!

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Central Bank Trifecta We are amidst three major Western central banks making statements and possible monetary policy changes. Their statements and decisions can drive volatility into the equity, bond, and currency markets. At one time they were all in unison, but we could see a divergence between the U.S. and her allies across the Pacific Read more…

Jobs Victory?

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Fridays Labor Report showed strong growth in the job market, enough so that President Obama was able to take a victory lap. Yet if one peers behind the headline number curtain, we see that the type of jobs and demographic are not as robust as the headlines would suggest. Over the years we have seen Read more…

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