A Fed Game

Posted on: by .

The confluence between the Fed and economic data will ultimately drive Fed monetary policy. It is important to remember that one must not cherry pick the data nor just look at the headline data. Certainly the Fed is delving into the numbers, because if economic headline data were the end-all be-all for setting monetary policy Read more…

Earnings Season

Posted on: by .

Earnings season kicks off this week and we will start getting a glimpse of how we fared in Q1. While the expectations are for a weaker quarter, my real concerns are top-line revenue and sales. Of all the recent economic reports and data out there, there is one item that sticks out – China’s significant Read more…

Retail Concerns

Posted on: by .

Is the market losing steam after the recent run? The market will turn its attention on the holiday sales, Black-Friday, and Cyber Monday. However, lurking behind the excitement and expectations of the holidays will be the Federal Reserve and rate hike expectations at the last FOMC meeting of the year on December 15-16th. Retail Concerns? Read more…

Earnings Effect

Posted on: by .

The earnings season is telling not just for the fundamental views of growth and sales, but also how it may weight on the Fed’s rate hike decision for the next two meetings. If the recent jobs report coming in far weaker than expected, combined with the disinflation (contracting inflation) should be reason enough that the Read more…

BANK WEEK

Posted on: by .

It’s earnings season and while this looks to be the first earnings quarter in which S&P 500 has contracted (no growth) since 2009, there are sectors that we need to pay especially close interest to that can drive market activity. This is bank week as the many of the big name banks report. The banking Read more…

Shrinking Stock Market

Posted on: by .

The markets have rallied off the lows after the Labor Report, realizing there is little chance the Fed will hike rates in October. One colleague said it was a brilliant strategy, the Fed talks tough and they will raise rates, full well knowing that the Labor Report was going to be weak. Then they can Read more…

Crazy September

Posted on: by .

The stock market sold off heading into the high expectations of a rate hike in September. Then it bounced, but sold off when the FED did NOT hike rates. Yellen came out in a speech, days later and said they will hike rates, in what seemed some strange hope that would lift the markets, but Read more…

Tech Bubble?

Posted on: by .

While we wait for the FOMC statement this afternoon, which may bring some volatility to the market as analyst try to read the tea leaves, it is the tech sector that is bringing some volatility to the market. Are we in a semi-tech bubble? Tech Bubble? I was a market maker during the dot.com boom Read more…

    Older Posts >>