Dollar Factor

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Earning season has been a little weaker on top-line revenue and growth, the GDP headline came in a little weaker than expected (but strong consumer growth), and the FOMC statement remained “data dependent” and rather dovish. The one factor that is not getting the headlines and is impacting the market is the dollar. Dollar Factor Read more…

China, FOMC, Dollar?

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The Chinese market took it on the chin and was down 8.5%, the most in years. That is trickling over into the European markets and we are seeing the pre-market futures in the U.S. under pressure. Last week the US markets closed lower with no late rally. This morning will certainly be a test of Read more…

2015 Predictions (Part II)

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2015 Predictions (Part II) The Laws of Supply & Demand Courtesy of wikipedia The Laws of Supply & Demand are all powerful. It is a river that will continue to flow, there is no stopping it. When damns are built, they eventually break. When levees are constructed, they eventually are overrun. Rather than accepting and Read more…

Black Friday, Oil, and Gold!

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Black Friday, the biggest shopping day of the year and the day that marks when companies are now in “the black” (hence the name “Black Friday”), is fully under way. It will be interesting to see the data from sales, foot traffic, average ticket, revenue, etc. We will have to wait, but it will be Read more…

Petrodollar Battle

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The currency war is heating up and now the petrodollar is coming under fire and we could be facing the catalyst in which we see a full disconnect. The fundamental fabric that holds our currencies, commodity prices, and interest rates is pulling apart by individual threads. I am not sure which thread, if pulled hard Read more…

Dollar and Oil Prices

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Earnings, oil prices, strong dollar coupled with ECB and BOJ accommodation are just the economic volatility in the market. Then we have ISIS, Ebola, Ukraine, and Hong-Kong vs. China, which has not really impacted market fundamentals or global trade. Yet with all this uncertainty and potential volatility in the market, the one factor that can Read more…

September FOMC

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This week we wait to hear from the Fed. It is FOMC meeting time again and the next two meetings will be interesting as to how they position monetary policy or at the very least “tone” heading into the mid-term election. September FOMC courtesy of wikipedia There has been one significant and interesting change since Read more…

Ain’t no mountain high enough!

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The market continues to hold strong as we wait for the monthly labor report tomorrow. I suspect that the string of economic data heading into the mid-term elections will be better than expected and reflect a strong recovery, despite the reality on the ground. Ain’t no mountain high enough! Marvin Gaye – Courtesy of wikipedia Read more…

Consumers

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The market is holding up very well as it looks like nothing has changed as far as monetary policy. Additionally the geopolitical landscape remains at a simmer for now. We will be getting the highly watched labor report and one should continue to expect improvements. The jobs data could even help push this market higher Read more…

Durable Goods

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What a difference a day makes, well in perception perhaps. Looking across the economic data spectrum as well as geopolitical landscape, nothing has really changed. The Fed remains accommodative, interest rates at zero, and economic growth as measured by the GDP has moved in radical whip-saw measures with huge revisions. Even reviewing Yellen’s speech, she Read more…

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