Quarter End

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The quarter end is traditionally a time when the financial world reports their returns, makes forecasts for the next quarter, and of course the unspoken game of “marking”, which my colleagues will not find my brute honesty humorous, but it is true nonetheless. It is also the time for the government to make their forecasts Read more…

Fed Rally!

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As expected if the Fed decided to halt rate hikes and take a more dovish stance, the dollar would weaken and the equity, bond, and commodity markets would rally. However, we must take a step back and look at the big picture as to whether this rally is based on solid economic fundamentals (strong earnings Read more…

Primaries and the Fed

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This week should be pivotal for the markets. We have another “Super Tuesday” that could be the decider for both the GOP and Democrat primaries, which will certainly drive some volatility (depending on who slings ahead). Yet this is more of a long-term market driven story that ultimately plays out in November. What will drive Read more…

ECB NIRP!

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Central Bank Trifecta We are amidst three major Western central banks making statements and possible monetary policy changes. Their statements and decisions can drive volatility into the equity, bond, and currency markets. At one time they were all in unison, but we could see a divergence between the U.S. and her allies across the Pacific Read more…

Jobs Victory?

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Fridays Labor Report showed strong growth in the job market, enough so that President Obama was able to take a victory lap. Yet if one peers behind the headline number curtain, we see that the type of jobs and demographic are not as robust as the headlines would suggest. Over the years we have seen Read more…

Labor Perception

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Has the market recovered from the beginning of the year sell off? What has changed to bring back confidence to the equity markets? Were we oversold? Is the U.S. economy stronger or weaker? What will the Fed do next (raise rates, pause, perhaps lower rates)? These are the questions swirling around the financial markets, and Read more…