2014 Predictions Part 2

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Yesterday I made some predictions for economic data, politics, and Federal Reserve monetary policy that may impact the market. Today I will focus on financial products and sectors. 2014 Predictions – the Markets What lifts the market? The equity market, as a whole, has been lifted significantly since the onset of the QE-3 (QE-Infinity) monetary Read more…

2014 Predictions Part I

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Making predictions is, at best, a game of educated guesses and, at worse, wishful thinking. One of the hardest things is to be objective. It is certainly far easier to take an ideological stance, ignore math, and draw conjecture that sits well with one’s views. It is far harder to make observations, do the math, Read more…

2013 Review

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The New Year is just a short week away and I am putting together my predictions for 2014. There is a lot to cover, so I expect it will be a two-part report next week – the last two days of the year. So, before we get to predictions, let’s review 2013. 2013 Review This Read more…

Online vs. Offline

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Hope everyone had an excellent holiday with their family and friends. I always look forward to cooking and my stranding rib roast, partially smoked on my Green Egg, exceeded my expectations. It was an excellent time with my family and as we exchanged gifts, I took not of what was purchased online vs. offline. I Read more…

Christmas Eve Story

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Santa is coming to town, or so it seems. After so much political volatility and silliness, the market has persevered. While it is nice to hope that the Federal Reserve and Federal Government could get back to business as normal and that we could focus our investments based on the fundamentals, revenue, sales, and traditional Read more…

Apple China Mobile Deal

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It looks like Santa is coming to town, well at least in the market. There are amazing stories in the emerging markets, but there are also some risks out there. I expect that if we only concentrate our focus on the growing emerging market story we may become blind to some core risks that could Read more…

Market Resilience

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The market remains resilient and the question that continues to be put forth is, are we getting a little too ahead of ourselves? The answer is mixed, but there is no doubt that the Fed’s monetary policy is pushing bond prices higher and yields lower has certainly help force money into the equity markets. Yet, Read more…

The Taper Wars!

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It was hard to be decisive on whether or not the Fed would taper. I was certainly on the fence and gave it a low probability, while the market gave it a 50/50 chance. No doubt there was some small room to taper (they tapered the bond purchases by $5 billion) and much of that Read more…

Inflation?

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The clock is ticking and we had a good rally yesterday, but we will stay range bound until we get a decision from the Federal Reserve. Their meeting starts today and while Bernanke is still in charge, many will be looking to Yellen’s position as she is expected to take the reins in January. Bernanke’s Read more…

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