Ford Earnings Example

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Volatility has NOT left the market and we should expect it to remain until the FOMC meeting clarifies their monetary policy and forward guidance. Until then the market and media have turned their attention back to earnings, geopolitical volatility (Hong Kong / China / ISIS), and Ebola. These events are certainly causing jitters in the Read more…

Fed Stars Align

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The market has made a healthy bounce from the recent sell-off, but I suspect we will have a little reprieve at this point. We need to catch a breath from this roller-coaster ride and we have move back up into previous support ranges so we could be facing some resistance at these levels. The FOMC Read more…

Dollar Strength

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The market is bouncing off the lows and the volatility (premiums) is mellowing again. The Fed officials were on the parade last week; hinting, implying, commenting on future monetary policy. Two Fed officials even suggested halting the taper and extending QE. I believe those soothing words have certainly helped calm the market and quieted the Read more…

Fed’s True Colors

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The Russell remains one of the best indicators of general market order-flow. I believe coupled with the bond market has been the best indicator of future Fed monetary policy. The bond market rallied, sending rates below 2.2%, that was the first sign the Fed was not going to raise rates or become Hawkish. Earlier this Read more…

Don’t concentrate on the finger!

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Market crashing? Time to panic? As expected there is certainly significant volatility and even massive intra-day volatility. However, we knew or should have known to expect this. We only had to look at the end of QE1 and QE2 to see how the market fell into spastic volatility and selling pressure. We have also tested Read more…

ZIRP

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We are seeing significant volatility and huge swings in the market. No doubt that panic is starting to rear its ugly head. While I am critical of this market and do expect a correction, I don’t believe the Fed will sit by in this next FOMC meeting and risk a significant market sell-off heading into Read more…

Dovish Fed?

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Four more years! Four more years! You can almost hear the market chanting as the Fed minutes read uber-dovish as expected. For those that believe the market is NOT driven by the Fed, yesterday was just another prime example that it is. All the concern about the end of QE and rate hikes had driven Read more…

5.9% Really?

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The market has come under significant pressure and while I believe we are heading into an asset inflated bubble that will see a correction, I just don’t think the timing is lining up just yet. Fed FOMC and Mid-terms means the market will NOT crash or make a significant correction just yet. 5.9% Really? Who Read more…

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